The Record
Flat 1u · losses count the same as winsNo scored cards yet. The record starts with the first results post — wins and losses, every one.
| Date | Track/Race | Horse | Model | Fair | Play≥ | Board | Close | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Closing-Line Scoreboard
Did our flagged price hold to post?Before every race we publish a “play at X or better” price. In a pari-mutuel pool your payout is set by the final odds no matter when you bet, so the only price that counts is the close. After the race we check whether the closing tote odds actually reached the price we asked for. If they did, the value we flagged was real and takeable; if the horse closed shorter, it was a pass — not a bet you missed by timing.
No graded prices yet. Fills with the first results post.
Calibration
When we say 30%, do they win 30%?Across every runner we priced — not just the flags — binned by our model win probability against how often they actually won. The probabilities were hash-chained before post, so this is an honest reliability check, not a backtest.
No scored runners yet. Fills with the first results post.
Provenance
One hash chain, verifiableThe public ledger is one continuous SHA-256 chain: every card’s lock entry references the exact bytes of the entry before it, so a back-edit anywhere breaks the walk. Chain status: verified ✓ · 4 entries · 1 card.
SHA 970405a2813327fc…