Saratoga, Wed Aug 26, 2026

8 races · published 11:44 AM ET · card locked

4 value plays today · 5 races we're passing

StatusCompleted · races run

First post1:10 PM ET

Scratch checkChecked · 11:24 AM ET

Archived card · races already run

These plays were published and locked before first post on Wed Aug 26, 2026. They are kept exactly as published, wins and losses alike, and are no longer actionable. Prices shown were the qualifying prices at publication.

Every selection we have ever published is graded on the record. The methodology is on the methodology page.

Edge of the Day

7UNIT ECONOMICS

Race 2 · 1 1/16 miles turf

60%model3/5fair4/5boardWINpaid at the close

Our biggest edge on the card today (+16 pts over the board), the crowd will likely bet it down, so expect a shorter number, so size it smaller. Chosen by rule: the flag with the most value, graded like any other.

Today at SaratogaMostly Sunny, 80°F, wind 2 mph · rain 0%, no off-track flagNWS forecast

Flags 4 of 8 races

New here? How to read a flag · Model, Fair, Board and the pari-mutuel closing rule, explained once.

Today’s plays4 flags

RaceHorseModelBoardEdge

R27Unit Economics60%4/5+16 pts R59Al Mowashaah36%5/2+14 pts R72Go For Launch24%6/1+13 pts R78Shining Moment25%5/1+12 pts

Race 2 · 1 1/16 miles · turf · Claiming $25,000Flag

7UNIT ECONOMICS

Model

Fair

Board

60%

3/5

4/5

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Likely bet down A short board price for this track, and prices this short more often shorten by post than not. Still a win play, but expect a smaller number than the board shows, because pari-mutuel pays the close. Size it smaller.

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend. Barn angle strong here

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace8 going

No one horse is entitled to the lead. Nothing in here has shown real early speed on the figures the model reads.

The model’s read ▾

This is the widest gap on today’s card. When our number is that far clear of the board, the disagreement is the whole reason to be here.

It tops our own win number, 50.6 points clear of the next one, in a race nobody is clearly entitled to lead.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
7	UNIT ECONOMICS ◀	60%	3/5	4/5
5	BRIGADIER GENERAL	9%	10/1	4/1
8	LATE CALL	9%	10/1	5/1
6	RIGHT TO WIN	8%	11/1	8/1
2	HEATHGUARD	5%	15/1	8/1
1	AMBITION	5%	20/1	15/1
4	OUTTAWATERBURY	2%	50/1	30/1
3	AELFGAR	1%	50/1	30/1

Race 5 · 1 1/16 miles · turf · Maiden special weightFlag

9AL MOWASHAAH

Model

Fair

Board

36%

9/5

5/2

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend. Barn angle strong here

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace11 going

Nothing in here has a clear claim on the lead. A field this size means traffic is the risk in here, not the pace. Nothing in here has shown real early speed on the figures the model reads.

The model’s read ▾

AL MOWASHAAH is one of the more likely winners we flag today, and the board still prices it like a longer shot. The gap is smaller in points than some, but it is on a horse we genuinely rate to win.

It tops our own win number, 21.9 points clear of the next one, in a race nobody is clearly entitled to lead.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
9	AL MOWASHAAH ◀	36%	9/5	5/2
3	OUR WARRIOR	14%	6/1	9/2
7	CALLING MR. MO	13%	7/1	7/2
1	HOUSE OF WAR	8%	11/1	8/1
10	JORDAN THE CADDY	6%	15/1	12/1
6	VALS BRO	5%	20/1	12/1
8	MR. ROGERS	5%	20/1	15/1
4	SOLO STRYKER	5%	20/1	20/1
5	NYSTATEOFMIND	4%	25/1	8/1
2	ZACK THE GREY	3%	30/1	12/1
11	CUYLLE	2%	50/1	30/1

Race 7 · 5 1/2 furlongs · turf · Stakes, $200,000 purseFlag

2GO FOR LAUNCH

Model

Fair

Board

24%

3/1

6/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Price may move A mid board price, it can hold or shorten into post. You are paid the closing price either way, so bet the horse and take the number you get.

Ranks #2 in our power figure blend.

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace9 going

Nobody in here is clearly entitled to the lead. Two have shown early speed, under the count that would rate the race contested.

It rates second on our own win number, 1.7 points behind the top.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
8	SHINING MOMENT	25%	3/1	5/1
2	GO FOR LAUNCH ◀	24%	3/1	6/1
3	SIDE QUEST	16%	11/2	5/2
1	MORE CHAMPAGNE	10%	9/1	4/1
4	EXTRAVAGANZOO	6%	15/1	6/1
6	ALLURA	5%	15/1	8/1
9	ARMY SALUTE	5%	20/1	15/1
7	LUMINOUS BEAUTY	5%	20/1	10/1
5	LEXI'S CHARM	3%	30/1	10/1

Race 7 · 5 1/2 furlongs · turf · Stakes, $200,000 purseFlag

8SHINING MOMENT

Model

Fair

Board

25%

3/1

5/1

our win %

break-even

the morning line

▸ WIN BET · paid at the close

Price may move A mid board price, it can hold or shorten into post. You are paid the closing price either way, so bet the horse and take the number you get.

Ranks #1 in our power figure blend. Barn angle strong here

Data · Brisnet

How it sets up

Even pace9 going

No runner here is entitled to the lead on the early figures. Two have shown early speed, under the count that would rate the race contested.

It tops our own win number, 1.7 points clear of the next one.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
8	SHINING MOMENT ◀	25%	3/1	5/1
2	GO FOR LAUNCH	24%	3/1	6/1
3	SIDE QUEST	16%	11/2	5/2
1	MORE CHAMPAGNE	10%	9/1	4/1
4	EXTRAVAGANZOO	6%	15/1	6/1
6	ALLURA	5%	15/1	8/1
9	ARMY SALUTE	5%	20/1	15/1
7	LUMINOUS BEAUTY	5%	20/1	10/1
5	LEXI'S CHARM	3%	30/1	10/1

The whole card every runner, our number beside the board

Every runner on the card: our win probability and fair odds beside the morning line, with the edge between them. Sortable by any column.
R	#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board	Edge	Why
R16 1/2 furlongs dirtMaiden special weightLone speedpass
R1	7	CODY'S APPROVAL	35%	9/5	2/1	+8	1▲··
R1	1	ATLAS A EYE	24%	3/1	9/5	-5	2···
R1	3	LADY STARSTRUCK	17%	5/1	7/2	-1	····
R1	6	BELMONT C. C.	9%	10/1	8/1	0	3···
R1	5	DOTSY	9%	11/1	8/1	0	····
R1	2	DREAM OF ME	4%	25/1	20/1	0	····
R1	4	FRESHLY MINTED	3%	30/1	15/1	-2	4···
R21 1/16 miles turfClaiming $25,000Even pace1 flag
R2	7	UNIT ECONOMICS	60%	3/5	4/5	+16	1·B·
R2	5	BRIGADIER GENERAL	9%	10/1	4/1	-6	4···
R2	8	LATE CALL	9%	10/1	5/1	-4	3···
R2	6	RIGHT TO WIN	8%	11/1	8/1	0	2···
R2	2	HEATHGUARD	5%	15/1	8/1	-3	6·B·
R2	1	AMBITION	5%	20/1	15/1	0	5···
R2	4	OUTTAWATERBURY	2%	50/1	30/1	-1	7···
R2	3	AELFGAR	1%	50/1	30/1	-1	8·B·
R37 furlongs dirtStarter allowance, $50,000 levelLone speedpass
R3	5	TIMIA	26%	3/1	8/5	-4	1···
R3	6	OUR PREFERRED PAL	22%	7/2	3/1	+2	2·B·
R3	8	KAZ FARM GIRL	14%	6/1	6/1	+3	3···
R3	1	FURRY FOX	10%	9/1	5/1	-3	5···
R3	7	SABBY SUNSET	8%	12/1	15/1	+3	4···
R3	2	BOUQUETRY	8%	12/1	12/1	+2	6▲··
R3	3	CALLING AN AUDIBLE	7%	15/1	10/1	0	7···
R3	4	THIRTEEN RED FLAGS	5%	15/1	8/1	-3	8·B·
R45 1/2 furlongs turfMaiden special weightContested pace likely (3 early-speed types)pass
R4	1	VAJRA	25%	3/1	7/2	+8	1▼··
R4	6	CHESTNUT	16%	11/2	6/1	+4	2▲··
R4	5	EMPRESS NEW GROOVE	15%	11/2	5/1	+2	3·B·
R4	4	FLETCH'S ROCKETTE	13%	13/2	3/1	-6	4···
R4	8	MY DIVINE SPIRIT	10%	9/1	5/1	-3	6▲··
R4	2	SAINT TROPEZ	10%	9/1	9/2	-5	5▼··
R4	3	COLLECTIVE BARGAIN	7%	15/1	10/1	-1	7···
R4	7	FOSTER LANE	5%	20/1	15/1	0	··B·
R51 1/16 miles turfMaiden special weightEven pace1 flag
R5	9	AL MOWASHAAH	36%	9/5	5/2	+14	1·B·
R5	3	OUR WARRIOR	14%	6/1	9/2	0	····
R5	7	CALLING MR. MO	13%	7/1	7/2	-5	2···
R5	1	HOUSE OF WAR	8%	11/1	8/1	0	····
R5	10	JORDAN THE CADDY	6%	15/1	12/1	0	····
R5	6	VALS BRO	5%	20/1	12/1	-1	4···
R5	8	MR. ROGERS	5%	20/1	15/1	0	····
R5	4	SOLO STRYKER	5%	20/1	20/1	+1	3···
R5	5	NYSTATEOFMIND	4%	25/1	8/1	-4	5···
R5	2	ZACK THE GREY	3%	30/1	12/1	-3	6·B·
R5	11	CUYLLE	2%	50/1	30/1	-1	7·B·
R61 mile dirtOptional claiming $20,000Even pacepass
R6	6	GLEN AIRY	23%	7/2	5/2	+1	2···
R6	2	SECURED LANDING	22%	7/2	4/1	+6	1···
R6	3	TRUSTY RUSTY	14%	6/1	5/1	+1	3···
R6	7	UNLOAD	10%	9/1	7/2	-8	7···
R6	1	GOLDEN SYMPHONY	9%	10/1	8/1	+1	4···
R6	8	GEE NO HOLLANDER	9%	10/1	6/1	-2	6···
R6	4	PINEAPPLE MAN	9%	10/1	8/1	0	5···
R6	5	SMILENSAYCHEESE	4%	25/1	20/1	0	8·B·
R75 1/2 furlongs turfStakes, $200,000 purseEven pace2 flags
R7	8	SHINING MOMENT	25%	3/1	5/1	+12	1·B·
R7	2	GO FOR LAUNCH	24%	3/1	6/1	+13	2···
R7	3	SIDE QUEST	16%	11/2	5/2	-6	3···
R7	1	MORE CHAMPAGNE	10%	9/1	4/1	-5	4···
R7	4	EXTRAVAGANZOO	6%	15/1	6/1	-5	8···
R7	6	ALLURA	5%	15/1	8/1	-3	7···
R7	9	ARMY SALUTE	5%	20/1	15/1	0	5···
R7	7	LUMINOUS BEAUTY	5%	20/1	10/1	-2	6·B·
R7	5	LEXI'S CHARM	3%	30/1	10/1	-4	9···
R87 furlongs dirtMaiden claiming $35,000Even pacepass
R8	4	FOREVER TO GO	19%	4/1	9/2	+5	1···
R8	1	ALL BRIGHT	15%	11/2	7/2	-3	3···
R8	3	STARSHIP LIZZY	15%	6/1	9/2	0	2···
R8	9	RAISED	14%	6/1	3/1	-5	5···
R8	7	HANNA'S HIDEAWAY	12%	7/1	6/1	+1	4···
R8	6	EXTRAVAGANT	9%	10/1	8/1	0	··B·
R8	8	THAT'S AMORE	8%	12/1	15/1	+3	6···
R8	2	PEGGIE CASTLE	3%	30/1	20/1	0	7···
R8	5	ANGIE'S ANGEL	3%	30/1	20/1	-1	8···
R8	10	BATTLE RIFLE	2%	50/1	30/1	0	9·B·

Why reads left to right: rank on our power-figure blend, whether the pace shape helps (▲) or hurts (▼), the barn (B) and the morning (W). Green is positive, red negative, a dot means nothing to say. Model and Fair are ours; Board is the morning line.

Price your own ticket

The exotics builder, the sequence builder and the style ranker all run against this card, 8 races of it, at the real minimum and the real takeout. They live on one page so there is one of each to trust.

Open the builders →

The rest of the card our read on every race: analysis, not a bet

R1Lean7Cody's Approval35%9/52/1

How it sets up

dirtLone speedone gets loose on the lead, 7 going

Alone on the lead7

Our top-rated horse in a maiden special weight. One horse looks alone on the lead, which our pace adjustment credits. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 8 points. We make the favourite, #1 ATLAS A EYE, 24% against the board's 29%, shorter than we think it should be. Our own top-rated is #7 CODY'S APPROVAL. We are not betting the race; take it as an opinion, not a play.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
7	CODY'S APPROVAL	35%	9/5	2/1
1	ATLAS A EYE	24%	3/1	9/5
3	LADY STARSTRUCK	17%	5/1	7/2
6	BELMONT C. C.	9%	10/1	8/1
5	DOTSY	9%	11/1	8/1
2	DREAM OF ME	4%	25/1	20/1
4	FRESHLY MINTED	3%	30/1	15/1

R3Chalk5Timia26%3/18/5

How it sets up

dirtLone speedone gets loose on the lead, 8 going

Alone on the lead2

The board and our number agree in a restricted stakes. One horse looks alone on the lead, which our pace adjustment credits.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
5	TIMIA	26%	3/1	8/5
6	OUR PREFERRED PAL	22%	7/2	3/1
8	KAZ FARM GIRL	14%	6/1	6/1
1	FURRY FOX	10%	9/1	5/1
7	SABBY SUNSET	8%	12/1	15/1
2	BOUQUETRY	8%	12/1	12/1
3	CALLING AN AUDIBLE	7%	15/1	10/1
4	THIRTEEN RED FLAGS	5%	15/1	8/1

R4Lean1Vajra25%3/17/2

How it sets up

turfContested3 of 8 want the lead

Go forward12

Pace helps68

Our top-rated horse in a maiden special weight. Three of them want the lead. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 8 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
1	VAJRA	25%	3/1	7/2
6	CHESTNUT	16%	11/2	6/1
5	EMPRESS NEW GROOVE	15%	11/2	5/1
4	FLETCH'S ROCKETTE	13%	13/2	3/1
8	MY DIVINE SPIRIT	10%	9/1	5/1
2	SAINT TROPEZ	10%	9/1	9/2
3	COLLECTIVE BARGAIN	7%	15/1	10/1
7	FOSTER LANE	5%	20/1	15/1

R6Chalk6Glen Airy23%7/25/2

How it sets up

dirtEven pace8 going

The board and our number agree in a $20,000 optional claimer. We make the top one 23% against the board's 22%.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
6	GLEN AIRY	23%	7/2	5/2
2	SECURED LANDING	22%	7/2	4/1
3	TRUSTY RUSTY	14%	6/1	5/1
7	UNLOAD	10%	9/1	7/2
1	GOLDEN SYMPHONY	9%	10/1	8/1
8	GEE NO HOLLANDER	9%	10/1	6/1
4	PINEAPPLE MAN	9%	10/1	8/1
5	SMILENSAYCHEESE	4%	25/1	20/1

R8Lean4Forever To Go19%4/19/2

How it sets up

dirtEven pace10 going

Our top-rated horse in a $35,000 maiden claimer. We make the top one 19% against the board's 14%. The edge is real but sits under our bet line at 5 points.

Full field ▾

#	Horse	Model	Fair	Board
4	FOREVER TO GO	19%	4/1	9/2
1	ALL BRIGHT	15%	11/2	7/2
3	STARSHIP LIZZY	15%	6/1	9/2
9	RAISED	14%	6/1	3/1
7	HANNA'S HIDEAWAY	12%	7/1	6/1
6	EXTRAVAGANT	9%	10/1	8/1
8	THAT'S AMORE	8%	12/1	15/1
2	PEGGIE CASTLE	3%	30/1	20/1
5	ANGIE'S ANGEL	3%	30/1	20/1
10	BATTLE RIFLE	2%	50/1	30/1

Model v0-heuristic-1.4 · cfg aab788cb · code 41adcdeb · takeout (SAR) win 16% / exacta 18.5% · card SHA-256 552d58c7f086… · Scratch status checked at 11:24 AM ET. Late scratches void at scoring; the card is never edited.

Edge Card runs a proprietary pre-race probability process: market expectations combined with licensed past-performance, pace, field-composition and connections information, evaluated within each race. Exact implementation details are not published. Structured analysis, not a proven edge; tracked publicly either way. How to read this card · the method in full · every call graded

Verifying this card

Downloadable artifact hash	`552d58c7f0868dc186367c5d6a465ced4d9d2e8d5161eb834e1810711c656a4e`
OpenTimestamps status	OpenTimestamps calendar commitment; Bitcoin confirmation pending